From: http://vineyardsaker.blogspot.ca/2014/12/the-us-cannot-start-major-war-in-ukraine.html
Also at: http://www.greanvillepost.com/2015/01/01/the-us-cannot-start-a-major-war-in-ukraine/
On: 2015 January 5
WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 31, 2014
The US cannot start a major war in Ukraine
·
By
Nikolai Starikov
Translated by Val from
Osa
http://www.vz.ru/opinions/2014/12/25/722171.html
How
long the West is willing to pay for the crumbling economy of Ukraine
without guarantees of the beginning of its war with Russia? The
Western strategy rule says: lost
control over the territory - create the Antithesis.
It
is possible to understand what is happening in Ukraine, it is much
more difficult to evaluate and forecast the development of events.
Whatever the case, it is necessary to consistently follow one rule:
set emotions aside. Blood, death and destruction are the most serious
emotional blows, but if you follow your emotions, neither proper
assessment nor correct forecast will result.
Therefore,
as hard it can be, set emotions aside. To assess the geopolitical
game (and this is what we are looking at) we need only the head. Only
conscious manipulators want you to think with your heart
(and vote with your heart - as for Yeltsin in 1996).
The
United States and the West are facing of the strongest crises in its
history. The strength and depth of the problem are compounded by the
fact that ... the
West has won. It incorporated practically all of Europe, crushed, to
varying degrees, the whole world with a few exceptions.
Therein
lies the problem
– all its life the West lived by robbery. Now those who can be
robbed are fewer and fewer, and those with whom it is necessary to
share the "stolen goods", that is the standard of living
that rests on unrestricted dollar emissions, are more and more. Hence
the huge national debt. In the United States it is 18 trillion
dollars, but such debts, and even worse ratios of the national debt
to GDP, exist in all so-called developed countries.
What
solution the US and its closest allies are looking for in this
situation? It is now evident to everyone. The solution is war. Chaos.
But this chaos and this war must lead to a "controlled
collapse".
As a result the
US must eliminate two threats to its power - China and Russia.
Ideally,
make them clash with each other.
To do this the US need to change regime in one of these countries.
Obviously, the Americans think that the regime change in Russia is an
easier task.
The question is how to achieve this? Orange
technologies did not work in 2011,
Putin became president again.
What the West does when it
loses in any territory is most important for understanding the events
in Ukraine.
When we talk about a Western loss we mean
the failure of its plans and loss of control over a certain area,
full or partial.
What do the Western strategists do in
such a situation?
1949. Britain is "kicked out"
of India. Before
leaving the British set up the Anti-India - a new state of Pakistan.
Tensions, military conflicts between the new states ensue. In short,
many opportunities for the Anglo-Saxons.
Again in 1949.
As a result of the civil war in China, pro-Soviet Mao Zedong wins.
The US lose control over China. What do they do? Create
the Anti-China -Taiwan.
Evacuate there the army of Chiang Kai-shek under the protection of
the US Navy. Tensions, the permanent possibility of war between China
and the Anti-China ensue. Tiananmen Square, 1989, Beijing - who can
tell the "desperate" mainland Chinese from the agents of
the Taiwanese special services?
Attention please. In the
geopolitical game to grant a diplomatic recognition is to follow the
current 'national' interests, and nothing more. First, the United
States recognizes Taiwan as China. For those who do not know: until
1973 the representative of Taiwan at the United Nations was seated as
the representative of China. But later Washington changes its
position, recognizes Beijing and ceases to recognize Taipei. At the
same time it strongly supports Taiwan and prevents the reunification
of the two "Chinas"
Let's not stray far into
history. The rule of the permanent Anglo-Saxon Western strategy
states: lost
control over the territory - create Antithesis.
In
2011 the West loses control of Russia - not completely yet, but its
plans to deny Putin another presidential term fail. The dismantling
of the fifth column begins, Russia strongly defends its interests in
the world.
What is the West to do? Create Antithesis.
That is the Anti-Russia.
And the Anglo-Saxons start
creating it, the soil is prepared in Ukraine. Propaganda starts in
1991 and even earlier, militants are trained, money is allocated, the
elite is bought and well fed.
According to the US plans,
Yanukovych should be removed during the elections in 2015. Remove him
in such a way as to launch anti-Russian hysteria and begin to create
the Anti-Russia from Ukraine. Circumstances force an earlier start,
but according to the main rule: not the peaceful departure of
Yanukovych is required, but a
bloody overthrow in order to blame Russia.
What
is happening today in Ukraine is nothing more than the creation of
the Anti-Russia. Propaganda, hate, readiness to destroy and kill on
the part of the nationalists and
some deceived common citizens.
Where
do the US go with that? To war between Ukraine and Russia. On the
"initiative" of Ukraine. When? When they pump up the
Ukrainian army, equip it, create it, and prepare it. It will take
about five years. After that the US will try to pit the two parts of
the same nation against each other, set Ukraine against Russia.
Occasion - Crimea.
Were the Crimea not reunited with
Russia, it would still remain an excuse. Basing the Russian army in
Crimea, pro-Russian population living there would give a lot of
opportunities for the organization of conflicts and provocations.
Therefore, regardless of the actions of Putin and the people of
Crimea the Western plan would remain the same.
What can
stop the development of this terrible scenario of sliding into a
major war between brothers?
Support of those in Ukraine
itself who do not agree with this turn of events.
The
West creates the Anti-Russia, Russia must help and support the
Anti-anti-Russia.
When
in the Southeast of Ukraine the people who do not agree with the
Kiev's coup rose up, few had a clear idea that they were “blocking
the road” of such a terrible scenario. The presence of the
Anti-anti-Russia as a part of a federalized Ukraine, refusing
either to arm for the West, nor to pull the chestnuts out of the fire
for it,
blocked the Western plans to unleash the Ukrainian-Russian war.
Remember the end of the spring of 2014?
Moscow's
insistent calls for the territorial integrity of Ukraine, for
federalization, for negotiations. Moscow needs a unified Ukraine,
where the pro-Russian part of the society will "tie" the
hands of the militants and bought politicians, and will not allow to
draw the whole Ukrainian people into the war.
The
West needs not the peace, not the prosperity of Ukraine. It needs a
militarized state with an aggressive ideology in the form of hatred
directed against Russia.
Kiev
begins aggressive actions against Donbass.
Immediately the propaganda about the "terrorists" and the
Russian military starts. Military actions, conducted with cruelty to
civilians, give the West two possibilities:
- To win by
military means and then start the planned collapse of the economy of
Ukraine as the beginning of its preparation for war with Russia. The
well fed do not want to fight. The West can blame Russia for the
difficulties and hardships, whereas the military service provides an
income, albeit a tiny one;
- To draw Russia into war,
forcing her to send troops into Ukraine. The defeat of the Ukrainian
armed forces does not matter for the West. It
wants not the victory but the war itself.
And
the more Ukrainian citizens will die in the fratricidal war, the
better for the West – the rebellious Slavic nation eliminates
itself. As a result of the war in Ukraine the
West will try to repeat 1917 and "overthrow the bloody Kremlin
regime." All of it in order to take the course toward
preparation of the war between Russia and China.
And
then
a problem happened. Neither
military success nor the military invasion by Russia and its
participation in the civil conflict was
achieved.
And
then what? That's what.
The existence of the DNR and LNR
as Anti-anti-Russia
is the key to inability of the West to start a war
between Ukraine and Russia.
The cannonball on its leg
does not let the United States to push Kiev toward this Great War
with tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of victims.
That
is why Moscow is helping Donbass in every way possible that is why
Sergei Lavrov says that we are for the territorial integrity of
Ukraine.
That is why Russia does not recognize the DNR
and LNR as independent states. To recognize them, to let them secede
means to launch countdown for war with Ukraine. In this scenario the
Western plan kicks in: there is Russia, there is Anti-Russia, and
there is Novorossia. Anti-anti-Russia is no more. In
case of incorporation of Donbass into Russia,
those in Washington will stand up and give a standing ovation. This
is it: the war becomes practically inevitable. The image of Russia as
the enemy is created by Russia itself.
In today's situation
the Russian tactics in Ukraine are the only correct ones. US must pay
to support 40 million people, Russia must help 3 million people in
the Donbass and 1.5 million refugees. Moscow constantly insists on
negotiations, not allowing the aggressor being shaped by the west to
"remove the weight" from its leg, not allowing DNR and LNR
to be defeated militarily.
How long will the West be
willing to pay for the crumbling economy of Ukraine without
guarantees to begin its war with Russia? These guys do nothing
without a reason, they do not throw money away. Even to the militants
in Chechnya in the 90's they gave no dollars, instead they gave them
clichés for printing fake dollars.
Self-financing
- is the principle of the Anglo-Saxon politics,
in extreme cases a refund within a short period of time. A striking
example: the Bolsheviks paying with Russia's gold through Swedish
banks and the subsequent concessions, today's Libyan "freedom
fighters" with the oil dollars leaving Libya for unknown
destinations.
Time is of great importance today. The bet
of the West – to organize a new Maidan [Euromaidan,
a political movement in Ukraine for association with Europe and
resignation of Viktor Yanukovych as President ]
in
Russia, now that the path to war in Ukraine was blocked by the
courage and determination of the DNR and LNR militia fighters. The
bet of Russia – wait
till the West loses its interest in Ukraine because of high costs
without any tangible benefits.
Washington's
desire to get “at least something" leads to the pressure
on Europe and the paradoxical desire of the Europeans not to allow
the construction of the "South Stream".
Paradox?
No paradox. Washington wants to use the instability of Ukraine at
least for a possibility of gas blackmail of Moscow. And
Europe.
That is the essence of current and past events
in Ukraine.
And the last thing I want to say in this
regard.
Few in today's Ukraine understand what a
tremendous role
the courage of the Donbass residents
plays in today's world politics. They are rescuing
the entire Russian world today.
And the paradox, they save the lives of hundreds of thousands of
Ukrainian citizens.
The same children that today are
"jumping" in Ukrainian schools, whose parents collect money
for ATO, support the Kiev authorities, in
case of defeat Donbass,
in a very short period of time they
will become gun fodder, according to the US plan.
That's
what all
of us need to remember,
regardless of our current citizenship.
POSTED BY VINEYARDSAKER: AT 15:58
LABELS: NAZI WAR ON NOVORUSSIA, NIKOLAI STARIKOV